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92nd Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2019 (for the 2020 Ceremony) - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

AND THE NOMINES ARE...

Cynthia Erivo
32 yrs old | 1st nomination!
HARRIET
(Focus)
Nov 1st

 

 

Scarlett Johansson

34 yrs old | first 2 nominations!
MARRIAGE STORY 
(Neon)
Nov 6th

Saoirse Ronan
25 yrs old | 4th nom
LITTLE WOMEN
(Columbia)
Dec 25th

Charlize Theron
43 yrs old | 3rd nom | 1 win
BOMBSHELL
(Lionsgate)
Dec 20th

Renée Zellweger
49 yrs old
4th nom | 1 win
JUDY
(Roadside)
Sept 27th

WINNER

 

 

         
Who Should Win?

 43% of you wanted Scarlett Johansson to triumph... though Renee Z (who eventually won) was the second choice among our readers. The votes went like so.

Who Will Win?
Whenever the Academy chooses a weak set of nominees, the lock-ness of the presumed winner becomes even moreso. There you go Renée... you're winning a second Oscar for virtually no reason!
Who Got Stiffed?
First among them, Lupita Nyong'o who gave the year's most brilliant female performance in Us. Her campaign was strong, too, but it wasn't enough to leap over the twin obstacle of Oscar's genre bias and short attention span. Other women who earned raves this year included Alfre Woodard (Clemency) who got a terrible release date and barely-there campaign from Neon, Elisabeth Moss (her Smell) who critics raved about and then abandoned when it came time to list, Mary Kay Place (Diane) who won a couple big critics awards but had a tiny film, and Awkwafina (The Farewell) who headlined a sleeper hit indie but still couldn't find traction.
 
Precursors

 

NomsSAGCritics ChoiceGlobes
Wins:  WFCC

NomsSAG
Critics ChoiceGlobes,
  OFCS
WinsSpirit (cast)SLFCAFFCC,
 OAFFC
UFCA, GWNYFCA
Noms: Critics ChoiceGlobes
Wins: BSFC AACTA
NomsSAG,
 Critics ChoiceGlobes,  SAG (Cast)
Wins: --
Noms: SAGCritics ChoiceGlobesSpirit,
AARPOFCS
Wins: GlobesNBR, AFCC, LVFCS, SAG, BAFTA, Spirit,  SEFCA Dorian,, HFCS